Choose thin liquidity, push the YES price toward 90, and inspect how much actually fills.
Prediction market sandbox
There is no single correct route. Change orders, liquidity, and resolution to watch price, collateral, and positions move together.
Will humans return to the Moon before 2028?
Quotes cluster around 68–72, with buyers and sellers on both sides.
A belief does not become a trade by itself; the market only sees a price, quantity, and budget in the order book.
Best bid 68Best ask 72Spread 4
The order entered the public book. It may fill immediately or wait if it does not cross the spread.
BIDS
ASKS
- 06
Carol submitted: BUY NO 4 shares, max 28 credits.
- 05
200 credits locked in the settlement contract.
- 04
Trade matched between Alice and Bob: 2 shares, YES 68, NO 32.
- 03
Bob submitted: BUY NO 2 shares, max 35 credits.
- 02
Alice submitted: BUY YES 3 shares, max 68 credits.
- 01
Market created: Will humans return to the Moon before 2028?
Choose the result the oracle will finally write. In the wrong-oracle scenario, deliberately choose the opposite of reality.
System checksAll invariants hold
Use the slider to return to an earlier step. Continuing from there replaces the later history with a new sequence.
Not sure where to start? Try these four experiments.
Submit an order that does not fill immediately, then cancel it from the book.
Resolve the same positions as YES and NO and compare final balances.
Switch to the wrong oracle: price can look reasonable while settlement is completely wrong.