Lesson 0314 min
DEPEG · MARKET · ARBITRAGE

What Is an Arbitrageur Repairing During a Depeg?

Push the market price to $0.94 and use redemption to see why supply contraction can help without guaranteeing a return to $1.

ObjectivesAfter this lesson, you should be able to:
  • Separate market price from protocol target price
  • Explain the incentive to redeem below target
  • Observe why a depeg cannot be repaired by a slogan alone
COURSE POSITIONStep 3 of 4
  1. PREVIOUSWhy Can $100 Mint Only 66?
  2. CURRENTWhat Is an Arbitrageur Repairing During a Depeg?

    Push the market price to $0.94 and use redemption to see why supply contraction can help without guaranteeing a return to $1.

  3. NEXTWhat Happens When Everyone Wants Out?
BEFORE YOU READ

Think about these questions first.

Choose an answer before opening the explanation. You can add anything unexpected to your review list.

Q01A stablecoin falls to $0.90. Why might arbitrage not restore $1 immediately?
SHORT ANSWER

Buying has a reliable exit only if redemption near $1 works, is not paused, and fees and delay risk are small. Without credible redemption, $0.90 may price risk rather than offer a free ten cents.

Compared with your prediction:

A depeg is not a bug fixed by one button. It exposes the gap between market price, protocol target, reserve assets, and participant incentives. Drop USD-LAB to $0.94, then inspect what redemption can actually do.

Which price is the arbitrageur repairing?

When USD-LAB trades below $1 while the protocol still permits redemption near $1, an arbitrageur may:

  1. buy USD-LAB cheaply in the market;
  2. redeem it for reserve assets under the protocol rule;
  3. keep the difference while shrinking supply.

This path does not guarantee that price returns to $1 immediately. It depends on available reserves, redemption not being paused, market liquidity, and clean price inputs.

STABLECOIN SIMULATIONVirtual reserves · no advice
STABLECOIN 001 · PEG / RESERVE / REDEMPTION

COLLATERAL → USD-LAB

Put a one-dollar target stablecoin into a state machine and watch minting, price, redemption, and reserves define the stability boundary.

Current stateNot mintedRatio
01Collateral
02Minting
03Market price
04Redemption
Target price$1.00protocol target
Market price$1.00Gap 0.00%
Circulating supply0USD-LAB
Reserve value$0.000 COLLATERAL
Available to mint0minimum ratio 150%
FOCUS EXPERIMENT · DEPEGDepeg and arbitrage

Push the market below target, then compare redemption with supply contraction.

Reserves & supplyNot minted
Reserve COLLATERAL
0
Supply / mint ceiling
0
Wallet collateral
1,000
Your USD-LAB
0
Lost reserves
0
Total redeemed
0

Supply is a protocol promise; reserves are the assets actually available at exit. Keep both on the same ledger.

PRICE INPUTS · PEG BOUNDARYTarget price is not market price

Move the outside market, then choose when the oracle updates. Current deviation 0.00%.

RESERVE RISK · RUN SCENARIOWho reaches the boundary after reserve loss?

Supply does not shrink automatically when reserves are lost. Apply loss, redeem part of the balance, and inspect coverage and exit capacity.

Collateral ratio
Reserve coverage
Redeemable collateral0
Observation prompt

Deposit collateral, then mint USD-LAB. Target, market, and oracle prices are three different states.

Stablecoin events1 EVENTS
  1. 01

    USD-LAB created:target price 1.00 USD, minting must be backed by collateral.

ACTION HISTORYExperiment timeline
1 state snapshots

Use the slider to return to an earlier step. Continuing from there replaces the later history with a new sequence.

Initial state
View experiment records →
Expand: how this step works
marketPrice < targetPrice
  → buy discounted stablecoin
  → redeem under the protocol rule
  → burn supply and receive reserve

Arbitrage turns a price gap into a behavioral incentive, but it cannot replace reserve proof, liquidity, or correct outside data. Check “can arbitrage” and “can redeem” as separate conditions.

KNOWLEDGE CHECK

Why can redemption sometimes help a $0.94 stablecoin move back toward its target?

The state you carry forward

Depeg repair is a process completed by participants and reserves, not a single formula. Finally, thin the reserves and watch a run and stale oracle data compound.

LESSON RECAPComplete the exercise and knowledge check first